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Category:People from Bochum
Category:Eurodance musiciansAdequacy of network model to describe the outbreak of vesicular stomatitis in a cattle herd in Brazil.
A study about the outbreak of vesicular stomatitis among cattle was conducted in Brazil. Data about herd management practices and clinical examination of animals were obtained from the veterinarian and the farm manager. Time series models were estimated to analyse the temporal trend of vesicular stomatitis cases and serological titre counts and their relationship. The serological counts and the number of cases showed similar behaviour after an initial decline. A network model, which included terms for spatial correlation and smoothed terms of time, was used to estimate the variation of incidence over the outbreak. The results showed a correlation between cases and titres, considering the outbreaks occurred in different geographical areas. However, some strains of the virus may have caused the outbreaks independently of the others. The model would be a useful tool for early warning of outbreaks in the future.Japan’s Central Bank Is Gone Batshit Crazy
The Bank of Japan’s monetary policy committee released a statement last night clearly stating that they expect to see the Japanese economy slump into recession by the end of this year.
The BOJ unveiled its latest forecasts at the same time, taking their target range down to minus 0.2% from its previous minus 0.6% forecast.
This move to cut rates has been widely expected by market watchers, but the level of detail in the BOJ’s statement came as a surprise to economists.
Here’s an excerpt from the statement:
“With respect to monetary policy, the committee is unanimous in viewing the current temporary [weakness] of aggregate demand as structural. It is also highly likely that a prolonged decline in asset prices will be accompanied by a substantial decline in consumption, thereby pushing up the rate of inflation in the second half of the year. As a result, the committee judges that it is necessary to adjust its stance of monetary policy to take into account the heightened risk of falling prices at an early stage of the business cycle. The committee judges that the downside risks to price stability have become more substantial and that the risk of declining prices is increasing. In addition, the committee continues to judge that a further easing of policy is necessary in light of the risks to the outlook for economic activity. The committee judges that the risks to the outlook
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